Morgan Stanley CEO Ted Pick declared the era of zero interest rates and inflation over, emphasizing that higher rates and geopolitical challenges will persist. He noted the transition from easy monetary policy since 2022 has made it tougher for public companies, with Wall Street executives skeptical about further rate cuts this year.
Wall Street CEOs gathered in Riyadh for the Future Investment Initiative, expressing optimism about the US economy while voicing concerns over sluggish growth in Europe. Notable figures such as Citigroup's Jane Fraser and BlackRock's Larry Fink highlighted the resilience of the US market amidst global uncertainties.
U.S. crude oil prices dipped on Tuesday following a significant drop of over 6% the previous day, attributed to relief over Israel's strikes on Iran not affecting oil facilities. Analysts from Goldman Sachs predict a recovery in Brent prices to $77 per barrel in Q4, despite potential downside risks in 2025 due to soft demand in China and robust U.S. production. As of Tuesday, West Texas Intermediate closed at $67.21 per barrel, while Brent settled at $71.12. Year-to-date, U.S. crude is down about 6%, with gasoline and natural gas also experiencing declines.
The 2024 US election could significantly influence the stock market, with distinct impacts depending on whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris wins. A Trump victory may boost energy, defense, and financial sectors, while potentially mixed effects could arise in technology and automotive industries. Conversely, a Harris win is likely to favor clean energy, healthcare reforms, and infrastructure spending, while introducing uncertainty in AI-related stocks.
The 2024 US elections could significantly influence various stock market sectors, depending on whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris wins. A Trump victory may boost energy, defense, finance, and automotive stocks, while a Harris presidency could favor clean energy, healthcare reforms, and infrastructure investments. Each candidate's policies will shape market dynamics and investor sentiment across different industries.
At the Future Investment Initiative in Saudi Arabia, top finance executives from firms like Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and Apollo Global Management expressed skepticism about the likelihood of two Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts this year. None of the panelists indicated support for such market expectations, suggesting that bets on rate reductions may be excessive.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. has opened a new office in Riyadh's King Abdullah Financial District, enhancing its presence in Saudi Arabia, the largest economy in the Middle East. The firm has been active in the kingdom since 2008 and joins other major institutions in the expansive financial hub.
Goldman Sachs anticipates a spike in overnight lending rates as US money markets prepare for a significant influx of new Treasuries. A record number of auction settlements on Thursday will drain cash from banks, coinciding with their efforts to meet regulatory capital requirements, thereby limiting available funds for overnight repurchase agreements.
Private-credit firm 5C Investment Partners, co-founded by former Goldman Sachs partners, has raised $1.6 billion for senior direct-lending transactions. This total includes leverage and a co-investment program, with Liberty Mutual Investments and Michael Dell’s family office, DFO Management, as key partners.
U.K. Finance Minister Rachel Reeves is set to deliver the Labour government's first budget in nearly 15 years, addressing a £100 billion spending gap amid rising government borrowing costs and declining business confidence. The budget will propose changes to debt rules to free up investment funds, while tax increases for higher earners and potential adjustments to inheritance and capital gains taxes are under consideration. Analysts warn that balancing fiscal responsibility with growth initiatives will be a challenging task for Reeves.
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